Thursday 18 June 2009

The Best And Worst Cities For Recession Recovery


Forbes.com, with the data from economic forecasting firm Moody's Economy.com introduced a ranking of The Best And Worst Cities For Recession Recovery.

Top 10 cities for recession recovery is as follows:

- Austin Tx is ranked No.1, driven by educated workforce, strong IT industry and recession proof University of Texas and State Capital.

- Four Texas cities are listed in Top 10. This is proof of "Era of Texas" has arrived.

- For other cities in Top 10, each city has extraordinarily strength such as Washigton DC - government spending, Seattle - highly educated workforce and IT industry, Fayettevile - Walmart HQ, Huntsville - booming IT industry, McAllen Tx - trade with Mexico, etc...

Rank Metropolitan Stastical Area 2009GMP 2010GMP Growth Unemployment
1 Austin-Round Rock, Texas 72.4 77.7 7.3% 5.8%
2 Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Ark. 13.9 14.5 4.3% 5.0%
3 Boulder, Colo. 15.6 16.3 4.5% 5.7%
4 Huntsville, Ala. 16.1 17.2 6.8% 6.1%
5 San Antonio, Texas 66.3 68.4 3.2% 5.4%
6 Mobile, Ala. 13.5 14.5 7.4% 8.5%
7 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas 274.6 287.9 4.8% 6.0%
8 Washington DC-Arlington-Alexandria 298.7 308.1 3.1% 5.6%
9 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas 15.6 16.6 6.4% 8.9%
10 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash. 168.3 179.8 6.8% 8.0%

Conversely, the worst 10 cities for recession recovery is as follows:

- 6 out of the worst 10 cities are in California. "The end of the era of California" seems to be really happening.

- Flint and Detroit was ranked Worst 1 and 3 respectively because of decline of US auto industry. They are constantly ranked "worst" in many economic indicators.

- Hit hard by financial industry meltdown, New York metro area's GMP (Gross Metropolitan Product) is forecast to go down by -3.8% by the end of 2010. Since NY metro's real estate price has not declined much, Deutche Bank economist expect additional 30-40% decline.

Rank Metropolitan Stastical Area 2009GMP 2010GMP Growth Unemployment
1 Flint, Michigan 11.0 9.3 -15.6% 14.2%
2 Fresno, Calif. 30.1 29.4 -2.3% 15.5%
3 Detroit-Warren-Livonia, Mich. 160.0 149.8 -6.4% 13.5%
4 Modesto, Calif 14.5 14.2 -2.1% 16.8%
5 Salinas, Calif. 13.8 13.4 -2.9% 11.7%
6 Bakersfield, Calif. 23.8 23.1 -2.9% 14.8%
7 New York-N. NJ-LI, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa. 988.0 950.0 -3.8% 7.6%
8 Stockton, Calif. 18.1 17.8 -1.7% 15.6%
9 Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, Ohio 16.3 15.4 -5.5% 12.8%
10 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, Calif. 597.0 581.0 -2.7% 10.1%

Real estate is location, location & location! Each metropolitan areas have entirely different economic base and growth potential. Since the biggest advantage of the real estate investment in US is long-term capital gain, it is safest bet to invest in high growth areas.

Happy Investing !!!!!

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