
That's one of the reason I do not invest in China......
http://bit.ly/7CHI2
Happy investing!!!
Thoughts about US and Global real estate market, creative market analysis/forecast/outlook, investment tip for Austin Tx, San Francisco, Manhattan and Zihuatanejo Mexico,,,,

- Below list is based on the size of state budget. You can see that large budget size of large GDP states such as California, New York, Texas, New Jersey, etc....
- Ranking of states with largest projected budget deficit are; 1) Californial 2) Nevada; 3) Arizona; 4) New York; 5) Illinois; 6)Connecticut; 7) Florida; 8) Washington; 9) Wisconsin; 10) Louisiana. High-cost/large economy state such as CA/NY and real estate bubble burst states such as NV/FL/AR are leading the pack.
- Ranking of states with smallest projected budget deficit are; 1) South Dakota, 2) Arkansas; 3) Nebraska; 4) West Virginia; 5) Indiana; 6) New Mexico; 7) Maine; 8) Alabama; 9) Michigan; 10) Ohio; 11) Texas. Small states that are located inland (away from east/west coast) are faring very well (though I was very surprised about Michigan's low deficit projection).
| States | Budget | Deficit | Percentage |
| All States Total | $ 705.82 | $ 133.40 | 18.90% |
| California | $ 101.19 | $ 33.90 | 33.50% |
| New York | $ 61.72 | $ 17.90 | 29.00% |
| Texas | $ 46.05 | $ 3.50 | 7.60% |
| New Jersey | $ 32.41 | $ 7.00 | 21.60% |
| Pennsylvania | $ 28.57 | $ 4.80 | 16.80% |
| Illinois | $ 28.34 | $ 7.00 | 24.70% |
| Ohio | $ 28.17 | $ 2.00 | 7.10% |
| Massachusetts | $ 28.09 | $ 5.00 | 17.80% |
| Florida | $ 25.66 | $ 5.80 | 22.60% |
| Michigan | $ 23.19 | $ 1.60 | 6.90% |
| North Carolina | $ 21.50 | $ 4.60 | 21.40% |
| Georgia | $ 21.38 | $ 3.10 | 14.50% |
| Minnesota | $ 17.49 | $ 3.20 | 18.30% |
| Virginia | $ 17.31 | $ 1.80 | 10.40% |
| Connecticut | $ 17.30 | $ 4.10 | 23.70% |
| Maryland | $ 15.20 | $ 1.90 | 12.50% |
| Washington | $ 15.04 | $ 3.40 | 22.60% |
| Wisconsin | $ 14.22 | $ 3.20 | 22.50% |
| Indiana | $ 13.16 | $ 0.72 | 5.50% |
| South Dakota | $ 11.85 | $ 0.32 | 2.70% |
| Tennessee | $ 11.11 | $ 1.00 | 9.00% |
| Arizona | $ 10.07 | $ 3.00 | 29.80% |
| Kentucky | $ 9.30 | $ 0.82 | 8.80% |
| Louisiana | $ 9.22 | $ 2.00 | 21.70% |
| Missouri | $ 8.96 | $ 0.92 | 10.30% |
| Alabama | $ 8.31 | $ 0.54 | 6.50% |
| Colorado | $ 7.69 | $ 1.00 | 13.00% |
| South Carolina | $ 6.90 | $ 0.73 | 10.50% |
| Kansas | $ 6.59 | $ 1.10 | 16.70% |
| Oklahoma | $ 6.52 | $ 0.60 | 9.20% |
| Iowa | $ 6.39 | $ 0.78 | 12.20% |
| District of Columbia | $ 6.25 | $ 0.65 | 10.40% |
| New Mexico | $ 6.05 | $ 0.35 | 5.70% |
| Utah | $ 5.96 | $ 0.72 | 12.10% |
| Hawaii | $ 5.73 | $ 0.68 | 11.90% |
| Mississippi | $ 5.11 | $ 0.48 | 9.40% |
| Arkansas | $ 4.56 | $ 0.15 | 3.20% |
| West Virginia | $ 3.92 | $ 0.20 | 5.10% |
| Nevada | $ 3.79 | $ 1.20 | 31.70% |
| Delaware | $ 3.64 | $ 0.56 | 15.30% |
| Nebraska | $ 3.53 | $ 0.15 | 4.30% |
| Rhode Island | $ 3.28 | $ 0.45 | 13.70% |
| Maine | $ 3.05 | $ 0.18 | 5.80% |
| Idaho | $ 2.96 | $ 0.41 | 13.90% |
| New Hampshire | $ 1.55 | $ 0.25 | 16.10% |
| Vermont | $ 1.22 | $ 0.25 | 20.80% |
| Oregon | DK | DK | DK |
* By the way, as you can see from above, California's budget deficit in 2010 is projected around $34 billion. California is making approx. $250 billion in Federal tax payment and get only 80% return. It means California overpays approx. $50 billion in Federal tax, more than enough to fill the 2010 state budget deficit!
Then, let's look at 2009 State Business Tax Climate Index.
Below is the states with WORST tax climate.
1. New Jersey
2. New York
3. California
4. Ohio
5. Rhode Island
6. Maryland
7. Iowa
8. Vermont
9. Nebraska
10. Minnesota
In large states like CA/NY, states government have very high operating expense so they are charging very high tax to residents and business. As results, massive out-migration from California and New York is happening right now.
4. Ohio
5. Rhode Island
6. Maryland
7. Iowa
8. Vermont
9. Nebraska
10. Minnesota
Here is the ranking of the most favorable tax states. Many states in the top 10 has are ones without state personal income tax such as Wyoming, South Dakoda, Nevada, Florida and Texas.
1. Wyoming
2. South Dakota
3. Nevada
4. Alaska
5. Florida
6. Montana
7. Texas
8. New Hampshire
9. Oregon
10. Delaware
This proves my argument --- "Why Californians are charged too much state tax?" No wonder so many high income family are paying almost 50% of their income on both federal and state tax!
In addition, California and New York started enforcing more tax to fill the budget deficit.
"6 States Hitting Residents With Big Tax Hikes" - WSJ.com
http://bit.ly/G2Edo
This will further accelerate the out-migration from California and New York to the low tax - strong economy state like Texas and delay the recovery from recession. In order to maintain long-term strength, California (and New York) has to stop raising tax, cut state budget and downsize service and operations.
Or should California (and New York) go separate ways from United States of America?
What do you think?
Happy Investing!!!!
- The return for California and New York residents is 0.80 and 0.82 respectively. I believe return for high income residents in NY, LA and SF metropolitan area is much lower. I
- On the contrary, residents in Mississippi、New Mexico、Alaska and Louisiana receive approx. $2 on $1 Federal Tax payment.
- While Texas is third largest economy after California and New York, the return is 0.97, much higher than CA/NY residents. I guess federal government is afraid the independence movement of Lone Star so they put "moderate" federal tax burden on the state of Texas;)
Per Capita Tax Burden and Return on Federal Tax Dollar: Fiscal 20051
http://bit.ly/Z78te
Rank State Return
50 New Jersey 0.65
49 Nevada 0.67
47 Conneticut 0.73
48 Minnesota 0.73
46 New Hampshire 0.75
45 Illinois 0.78
43 Delaware 0.80
44 California 0.80
42 New York 0.82
41 Colorado 0.83
40 Massatusetts 0.85
39 Wisconsin 0.88
38 Washington 0.89
37 Oregon 0.93
36 Michigan 0.94
35 Florida 0.95
34 Texas 0.97
33 Rhode Island 1.01
32 Georgia 1.03
31 Ohio 1.06
30 Indiana 1.07
27 Pennsylvania 1.08
28 North Calorina 1.08
29 Utah 1.08
23 Vermont 1.09
24 Iowa 1.09
25 Nebraska 1.09
26 Wyoming 1.09
22 Kansas 1.13
20 Arizona 1.19
21 Idaho 1.19
19 Tennesee 1.29
18 Maryland 1.30
17 Missouri 1.32
15 Oklahoma 1.35
16 South Calorina 1.35
14 Arkansas 1.40
13 Maine 1.41
11 Hawaii 1.43
12 Montana 1.43
10 South Dakota 1.48
8 Kentucky 1.51
9 Virginia 1.51
7 Alabama 1.63
6 North Dakota 1.65
5 West Virginia 1.75
4 Alaska 1.83
3 Louisiana 1.85
2 New Mexico 2.00
1 Missisippi 2.02
* If you are interested in per capita expenditure by states and its allocation, please download "Consolidated Federal Funds Report 2006" and look at page 24.
* Federal tax expenditure per capita in Washington DC is approx. $70,000! No wonder Washington DC economy is booming now.
California and New York both face approx. 30% state tax revenue deficit on 2010 budget. I bet, if CA and NY receives 100% return on its federal tax burden, story should be quite different. But, under current US legislation, non-coast states have much more say and control over federal tax allocation.
I personally think federal government's exploitation of California and New York (and NJ/CT) is the key issue facing growth of their economy. State governments had to charge high state tax to compensate for low return on federal tax. Therefore business and residents are migrating to low-tax states.
That's it for today. Please look for follow up posting on state tax issues.
Happy Investing!!!!!

1. Paris
2. Sydney
3. London
4. Rome
5. New York
6. Barcelona
7. San Francisco
8. Los Angeles
9. Vienna
1. London
2. New York
3. Paris
1. Sydney
2. Rome
3. Paris
1. Sydney
2. Toronto
3. Amsterdam
1. Sydney
2. Toronto
3. Melbourne
1. Paris
2. New York
3. Rome
1. London
2. New York
3. Sydney

| Rank | Metropolitan Stastical Area | 2009GMP | 2010GMP | Growth | Unemployment |
| 1 | Austin-Round Rock, Texas | 72.4 | 77.7 | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| 2 | Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, Ark. | 13.9 | 14.5 | 4.3% | 5.0% |
| 3 | Boulder, Colo. | 15.6 | 16.3 | 4.5% | 5.7% |
| 4 | Huntsville, Ala. | 16.1 | 17.2 | 6.8% | 6.1% |
| 5 | San Antonio, Texas | 66.3 | 68.4 | 3.2% | 5.4% |
| 6 | Mobile, Ala. | 13.5 | 14.5 | 7.4% | 8.5% |
| 7 | Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas | 274.6 | 287.9 | 4.8% | 6.0% |
| 8 | Washington DC-Arlington-Alexandria | 298.7 | 308.1 | 3.1% | 5.6% |
| 9 | McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas | 15.6 | 16.6 | 6.4% | 8.9% |
| 10 | Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash. | 168.3 | 179.8 | 6.8% | 8.0% |
| Rank | Metropolitan Stastical Area | 2009GMP | 2010GMP | Growth | Unemployment |
| 1 | Flint, Michigan | 11.0 | 9.3 | -15.6% | 14.2% |
| 2 | Fresno, Calif. | 30.1 | 29.4 | -2.3% | 15.5% |
| 3 | Detroit-Warren-Livonia, Mich. | 160.0 | 149.8 | -6.4% | 13.5% |
| 4 | Modesto, Calif | 14.5 | 14.2 | -2.1% | 16.8% |
| 5 | Salinas, Calif. | 13.8 | 13.4 | -2.9% | 11.7% |
| 6 | Bakersfield, Calif. | 23.8 | 23.1 | -2.9% | 14.8% |
| 7 | New York-N. NJ-LI, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa. | 988.0 | 950.0 | -3.8% | 7.6% |
| 8 | Stockton, Calif. | 18.1 | 17.8 | -1.7% | 15.6% |
| 9 | Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, Ohio | 16.3 | 15.4 | -5.5% | 12.8% |
| 10 | Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, Calif. | 597.0 | 581.0 | -2.7% | 10.1% |

After splitting from The Office nice guy John Krasinski, Parks & Recreation star Rashida Jones, 33, has been hanging with President Obama's 28-year-old speechwriter Jon Favreau. "It's not serious," a source reveals, but they are an item. Meanwhile, taking a break from her doctor duties at the Oceanside Wellness Center, Private Practice star Kate Walsh, 41, has been spotted cuddling with another young administration hotshot, Sean Smith. How's this for a title? Smith, 38, is Deputy Assistant Secretary for Public Affairs for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.